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Reps Make Gains in Aug., Polls Find - 09/01/10
The number of Republicans in the United States grew in Aug., while the number of Democrats slipped. The gap between the parties fell to the smallest advantage for Democrats in five years, according to the recent Rasmussen Report on party affiliation.
In Aug., 35.0% of American adults identified themselves as Democrats. That’s down nearly half a percentage point from a month ago and is the smallest percentage of Democrats ever recorded in nearly eight years of monthly tracking. At the same time, the number of Republicans grew to 33.8%. The gap is currently 1.2 percentage points. That’s the closest the Republicans have been to parity in more than five years, since July 2005.
It’s also the smallest gap between the parties heading into any of the recent campaign seasons. In Aug. 2004, the Democrats had a 2.6 percentage point advantage. In Aug. 2006, they enjoyed a 5.4 percentage point advantage. In Aug. 2008, the gap was 5.7 percentage points. Since Dec. 2008, the number of Republicans has only grown by a single percentage point, but the number of Democrats has fallen by nearly seven points.
The number not affiliated with either major party is now at 31.1%. That’s the lowest level measured this year.
CRA Board Awards Cove Contract to West Construction - 08/31/10
The CRA Board approved the FY 2011 budget, which authorizes expenditures of
$13.5 million. The Board also was briefed on the draft FY 2011-2015 Capital Improvement Plan which will be presented next year. CIP projects approved in this year's budget include:
• Fire hydrant upgrades
• Improvements to the Cove Shopping Center alley way
• Cove Gardens drainage improvements
• ADA sidewalk compliance
• Lighting enhancements in the beach area
• Sullivan Park improvements
• Improved beach benches and trash cans
The Board awarded the The Cove Shopping Center Parking Lot Improvements Project
Contract to West Construction. West was the low bidder coming in at $2,167,113.13.
County Commission Ethics Recap - 08/26/10
At its Aug. 10th meeting the county commission finally adopted a code of ethics and rejected a so-called "glitch" ordinance which would have made a number of technical corrections and substantive amendments to the code. The commission adopted a related ordinance providing that advisory board and other board members are prohibited from lobbying the divisions or departments related to the board during their term of service and for two years thereafter, on penalty of removal from the board.
The commission approved the following ethics-related measures to be placed on the Nov. ballot:
» Amendment to the county charter to allow the newly adopted Code of Ethics to prevail over conflicting municipal ordinances which apply to city officials and employees.
» Amendment to the county charter creating an independent Office of Inspector General and consolidating the Office of the County Auditor into the Office of Inspector General.
» Amendment to the county charter to make constitutional officers (sheriff, etc.) subject to the Code of Ethics.
The county commission also directed the county attorney to draft an ordinance prohibiting members of the county commission, their immediate family members, aides and office staff from doing business with Broward County.
At a subsequent meeting on the 17th, the commission voted 6-2 to revise the previously approved IG amendment ballot issue. Keechl and Gunzburger were the dissenting votes. The revised ballot measure requires that ethics complaints be filed under oath and provides penalties for malicious complaints. The law would also allow the IG to initiate an investigation without a formal complaint.
Rubio Stretches Lead in Post-Primary Polls - 08/26/10
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Florida shows Marco Rubio attracting 40% of the vote, while Charlie Crist picks up 30% in the race to become the state’s next U.S. senator. The new Democratic nominee Kendrick Meek earns 21% support.
This is the first poll of the race following Tuesday’s primary. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided.
With the results of this new survey, Florida’s Senate race moves from Toss-Up to Leans Republican in the Rasmussen Reports Election 2010 Balance of Power summary.
Seventy-six percent (76%) of Rubio supporters say they are certain of how they will vote and that they won’t change their mind before Election Day. Just 48% of Meek’s voters say the same, while 45% of Crist supporters are that certain. This suggests that the race could follow the typical pattern of three-way races with either Meek or Crist slipping out of contention and watching their support drift to the other.
Meek supporters who might switch their vote are overwhelmingly considering Crist as their option. Among Crist supporters, most would consider changing to Meek. However, more than a third say they might switch to Rubio. This is not surprising given that 37% of current Crist supporters disapprove of the way President Obama is doing his job.
GOP Voters More Loyal, Polls Show - 08/24/10
According to a new Rasmussen survey, Republicans are more loyal to their party in congressional races than Democrats. Some 84% of Republicans back the Republican candidate, while 76% of Democrats support the candidate of their party. This year, the generic congressional poll shows that independents prefer Republicans by a 48% to 25% margin.
How will party loyalty play out in the upcoming Senatorial race in Florida, where the newly independent, former Republican Charlie Crist is running against Republican Marco Rubio and likely Democrat-nominee Kendrick Meek?
Racial politics could be a factor in the Florida election. The Rasmussen poll finds that white voters are about evenly split (53% of white voters favor Republican candidates for Congress), but 71% of African-Americans are more likely to vote Democrat.
The most recent Rasmussen poll shows that Rubio has a slight edge in the Senatorial race, if Meek, who is black, is the Democrat.
City Commission Appoints Hanson as Permanent Manager - 08/17/10
The city commission agreed to hire Burgess Hanson as city manager. Hanson has been serving as interim city manager since the departure of Mike Mahaney.
The commission was briefed and discussed imposing a municipal public service tax on the purchase of electricity, metered natural gas, liquefied petroleum gas, manufactured gas, fuel oil, and water service. Deerfield Beach is the only major city in Broward County that does not levy a utility tax as authorized by Fla. Stat. § 195.207.
In theory, revenues generated by a utility tax would off-set possible increases in ad valorem taxes, which are currently the largest source of revenue for the city.
Is the Pendulum Swinging to the Right? - 08/17/10
Nobody is predicting the GOP will regain control of Congress in this year's election, but new polls released this week suggest this possibility is not as far-fetched as it once seemed.
Republican candidates have jumped out to a record-setting 12-point lead over Dems on the Rasmussen Reports Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending Aug. 15th. This is the biggest lead the GOP has held in over a decade of Rasmussen surveying.
The new Rasmussen national telephone survey found that 48% of likely voters would vote for their district's Republican congressional candidate this Nov.
Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball out of the University of Virginia, which forecasts elections based on combined polling data, predicts the GOP will gain seven Senate seats, 32 House seats, and up to seven governors. Reps currently control 23 statehouses. There are also 6,115 seats in the state legislatures of 46 states up for grabs in Nov. Applying the congressional election prediction model developed by Crystal Ball Senior Columnist Alan Abramowitz to the state legislatures, Republicans could gain control of eight to ten chambers and 250-400 net seats in all the states combined.
CALENDAR
Florida v. Gonot - 09/22/10, 9:00 a.m.
Ex-commissioner Steve Gonot is charged with grand theft in the 3d degree, official misconduct, and falsifying public records. A calendar call is scheduled before Judge Rodriguez on this date. This is not a trial date.
Florida v. Capellini (Case Filed 03/16/10) - 10/01/10, 9:00 a.m.
Ex-mayor Al Capellini is charged with receiving unlawful compensation. A calendar call is scheduled before Judge Rebollo on this date. This is not a trial date.